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After storm lull, scientists warn of red-flag October

Accuweather.com Satellite Image October 1, 2007

while Floridians bask in their second hurricane-free year in a row, meteorologists warn that the threat from the tropics may be about to ramp up. October typically brings a shift in the tropics' steering winds, pushing hurricanes into Florida from the Gu
lf of Mexico and western Caribbean instead of the Atlantic. The western Caribbean still is loaded with the deep, abundant warm water that fueled Hurricanes Dean and Felix to Category 5 strength in August. The expected return of the La Niña global climate pattern, which encourages Atlantic hurricane formation, could keep the season humming well into November. "One or two more major hurricanes is very possible. I would think we'd have a high chance of a hurricane coming out of the Caribbean and possibly threatening Florida." Officially, the Atlantic basin's hurricane season runs from June 1 to Nov. 30, with peak activity hitting in mid-September. "October is the biggest threat for the state of Florida - more than August, more than September." The 13 named storms that have already formed this year, including four hurricanes, are more than the long-term average of 10 storms a season. This season "is going to be ranking as one of the most historic. What we've been warning our clients is that the waters have been phenomenally warm in the Gulf of Mexico and other regions nearby. We kind of use the phrase 'We expect to be surprised.' ... That should be the expected thing, for storms to explode." Water warmer than 80 degrees is potent fuel for hurricanes, and it's more than 100 feet deep in the western Caribbean. That means passing hurricanes keep stirring up warm water, not the cold, discouraging water they might churn up elsewhere in the Atlantic.

Hanna leaves 10 dead
Tropical depression Hanna (international codename Tropical Storm Lekima) killed nine people and left another missing in the Philippines after unleashing landslides, floods and big waves, rescuers said Sunday.

Tropical Storm Melissa Forms in Atlantic, Hurricane Rains Kill 5 in Mexico


Floodwaters from hurricane Lorenzo were re ceding Saturday after rains caused mudslides and floods that killed at least five people and drove tens of thousands from their homes in eastern Mexico. Meanwhile, a new tropical storm, Melissa, formed in the eastern Atlantic

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