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4/02/2007

Intense tropical cyclone Jaya

Breaking Tropical Storm Alert
Madagascar

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Cyclone would be the 7th cyclone to hit the island since December
Intense tropical cyclone Jaya is forecast to strike Madagascar as a tropical cyclone at about 06:00 GMT on 3 April. Data supplied by the US Navy and Air Force Joint Typhoon Warning Center suggest that the point of landfall will be near 15.5 S, 50.9 E. Jaya is expected to bring 1-minute maximum sustained winds to the region of around 157 km/h (97 mph). Wind gusts in the area may be considerably higher.
According to the Saffir-Simpson damage scale the potential property damage and flooding from a storm of Jaya's strength (category 2) at landfall includes:

*Storm surge generally 1.8-2.4 metres (6-8 feet) above normal.
*Some roofing material, door, and window damage of buildings.
*Considerable damage to shrubbery and trees with some trees blown down.
*Considerable damage to mobile homes, poorly constructed signs, and piers.
*Coastal and low-lying escape routes flood 2-4 hours before arrival of storm
*Small craft in unprotected anchorages break moorings. Inland Flood Alert



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